A little bit of good fortune will allow us to enjoy Thanksgiving without having to worry about the weather. (As long as you're not traveling to certain corners of the country.)
Temperatures will start out mild and remain that way through the day, with highs expected to reach well into the 60s and a few 70s not out of the question. Now, that could be a bit too warm for some who heat up the house roasting a turkey, or those would like to fire up the fireplace while eating and watching football. On the other hand, if you want to fry your turkey out of doors, or take a walk to burn off a few of those Thanksgiving calories, you'll appreciate the balmy breezes of late November.
This is happening because of the evolving jet stream pattern. A deep trough (with a cut-off low, even!) in the western states will create a whole assortment of bad weather for the west and middle of the continent. A surface front will exit the Rockies and press into the Midwest and Plains, accompanied by large amounts of rain all the way from Texas to Michigan, and snow in the cold Canadian air west of the boundary, including much of the mountain West.
Here, we get a break. Balancing out the western trough is a building ridge over the Southeast, which means not only will it keep us warm, but it'll also prevent the front from making much progress to the east. The end result is that we can expect to remain rain-free right on through the weekend, though by Monday we may have a shot at rain as the front may finally get close enough by then.
Thanksgiving usually turns out pretty nice here in the South, though many times in the past couple decades we've seen frosty mornings (last year our extremes on Thanksgiving Day were 35º and 53º) and on occasion it has rained, though not very often.
This is a big football weekend, and an unusually warm Iron Bowl is in order as well as a pleasant early Saturday afternoon at Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta for Georgia-Georgia Tech. Have some sympathy for the fans in Green Bay, though - on Thanksgiving night the Packers will be playing the Chicago Bears in a miserably cold (30s!?!) rain that could change to wet snow during the game. (It may not be very nice in Dallas, either, though at least the fans will have some shelter from rain and thunderstorms.)
I'll be staying up late to watch the Packers pound the Bears, though I have to work at my usual early hour the next morning so I could be a bit bleary-eyed. I expect some of you will be up early as well on Black Friday, so tune in to WRBL for weather updates before you leave home, or dial in to our WRBL Radar App or wrbl.com/weather!
Have a Happy Thanksgiving!
Kurt Schmitz, Senior Meteorologist