We've had our share of rain lately, and that's a good thing, even though a few 4th of July festivities may have been affected by thunderstorms over the weekend. Now we'll have a chance to dry out a bit, but it comes with a price: we'll warm up and at the same time hang onto all the humidity.
We're not out of the woods yet on the storms - there could well be another round later today and/or tonight, with the usual lightning and localized heavy rain. Any storms that move in from western Alabama today are likely to stay below severe levels, though a few wind gusts are still a possibility. Clouds today have limited our daytime heating, leaving instability rather marginal.
Beginning Monday, as the atmosphere dries out a bit we will return to normal July weather, featuring more sunshine, higher daytime temperatures, and isolated thunderstorms mostly limited to afternoons and evenings. And when we say "drier" atmosphere, you won't feel it here on the ground - the recent rains will keep dew points high and humidity will be oppressive. The term "heat index" will be back in our vocabulary again (neither Bob nor I like "feels like"). In other words: it's JULY.
The reason for this little shift? An unusually active upper jet stream has made our recent early July weather more like what we'd see in June. As a ridge builds through the week over the eastern states, upper winds will weaken and less upper air support will be available to drive these clusters of storms like we've had of late.
Look for highs to possibly reach the mid-90s within a few days, provided we get enough hours of sunshine to heat things up. And the lows? We've had some nice, rain-cooled mornings that put us in the 60s recently, but don't expect that to continue. Low and mid-70s will be the rule from Tuesday on.
Personal note: It's a long, slow process healing a broken bone that normally handles a lot of work in getting our bodies up and around, here and there. But I may have some good news on that front before the week is through, so check back in again soon!