Saturday is normally a day for me to put aside weather for other things, but this weekend I'll be keeping an eye on what is potentially some rough weather that could be headed our way.
Beginning late tonight and through much of Sunday, we'll be dealing with a couple rounds of rain and storms with a severe threat thrown in for good measure. The setup is for an energetic upper trough over the nation's midsection that sends a wave in our direction, resulting in a deepening surface low sweeping north toward the Great Lakes. The first batch of activity is expected to come our way early Sunday, ahead of an advancing warm front coming up from the Gulf coast. There may be some thunder in this, but it should fall short of being severe as long as we stay north of the warm front.
Later in the day - assuming the warm front does get through here - may come the severe threat, with development further west in the warm sector which would move northeast across the southern half of Alabama toward our area.
The good news is that we should be getting a lot of rain, even though the system as a whole will be moving very fast. We've been pretty dry for more than a month now. Also good for us is that it doesn't look like a tornado outbreak situation, as have been seen in some Novembers past. There is the chance for a few strong supercells that could spawn a twister or two, but even that will depend on how the state of the atmosphere evolves during the morning hours Sunday. Bottom line is that the rain will come in early, the stronger stuff later on - if it gets this far north at all - still looks like the greater risk will be just south of our area.
Whatever happens, the First Alert weather team will have things covered at any hour of the day or night, on TV if necessary and through our other platforms including web, mobile, and social media.
SPC Day 2 Outlook: Slight Risk Sunday